1

Philo Beddoe
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-07-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-06-29 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 22/03/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 29/03/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 09/07/2025 | 5th | 4/9 | 98% | 20% | -0.78 |
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |