2
Sonic Speed
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 95
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-02 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |