Aero Star
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Canterbury Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |