Happy Dancer
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Canterbury Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Turf Paradise | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Remington Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 24/07/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |