Words Of Wisdom
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Canterbury Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |