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5

Ravin's Town

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72

Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 82 par23/10C8OR 82C8 @ Oaklawn Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 92 · 6f 119 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 92 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 97 par28/12C8OR 97C8 @ Oaklawn Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 90 · 6f 119 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 87 par13/03C7OR 87C5 @ Charles Town 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Mountaineer 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 90 par17/05C5OR 90C5 @ Charles Town 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 87 parC5 @ Charles Town 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 4f110y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 77 par19/07C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Charles Town?4th1st+3
2026-06-19Charles Town?8th5th+3
2026-05-17Mountaineer?4th1st+3
2026-04-17Charles Town?3rd0th+3
2026-03-13Oaklawn Park?2nd1st+1
2026-02-13Oaklawn Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1013/0217/0519/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20252nd11/1094%67%-0.28
12/12/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
28/12/20252nd11/486%89%+0.03
13/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
13/03/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
17/04/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
17/05/20264th13/891%25%-0.66
19/06/20268th8/158%0%-0.58
19/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40