6
Shea D World
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |