Turbulent Force
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 11% | -0.77 |