7
Win No Joke
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 70
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 24/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |