Bigtonten
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 93
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |