2
Motskari
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 82
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |