Socially Awkward
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |