5

Solomons Gold

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74

Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength31%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 22/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 95 par22/05C8OR 95C8 @ Gulfstream 07/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 97 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark07/06/2025 · OR 97 parC7 @ Mahoning Valley 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 88 par30/10C7OR 88C7 @ Charles Town 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Charles Town 10/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 84 · 7f Fas 124 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 84 par10/01C8OR 84C8 @ Charles Town 15/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Charles Town 08/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 88 par8/03C7OR 88C8 @ Mahoning Valley 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m Gd 124 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Charles Town 19/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 78 · 7f 124 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 78 par19/07C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Charles Town?3rd3rd0
2026-03-17Mahoning Valley?4th4th0
2026-03-08Charles Town?8th7th+1
2026-02-15Charles Town?1st1st0
2026-01-10Charles Town?1st1st0
2025-11-14Charles Town?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0514/118/0319/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
07/06/20253rd4/596%67%-0.29
30/10/20254th4/179%40%-0.39
14/11/20253rd8/158%67%+0.09
10/01/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
15/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
08/03/20268th11/271%13%-0.59
17/03/20264th15/890%40%-0.50
19/07/20263rd3/184%50%-0.34