2

Blessings Bestowed

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 65

Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2025 · OR 64 par12/07C6OR 64C9 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 58 · 5f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 58 parC7 @ Laurel Park 14/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 61 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 61 par14/09C7OR 61C7 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 6f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 68 parC7 @ Laurel Park 26/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 76 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 76 par26/10C7OR 76C5 @ Charles Town 30/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Slo 122 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 67 par28/06C8OR 67C8 @ Colonial Downs 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 54 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 54 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 5f110y Yie 122 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 par25/07C8OR 55projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-28Colonial Downs?7th7th0
2025-11-30Charles Town?7th4th+3
2025-10-26Laurel Park?7th6th+1
2025-10-04Laurel Park?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/074/1028/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
03/09/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
14/09/20254th9/488%67%-0.21
04/10/20255th4/179%50%-0.29
26/10/20257th11/271%33%-0.38
30/11/20257th14/126%0%-0.26
28/06/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
10/07/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
25/07/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02