9
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3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 81
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |