6

Gimme Two Shots
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 69
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |