4

Pediatrician

4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 59

Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength80%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS11/04C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 04/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 79 · 7f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/05/2025 · OR 79 parC6 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 55 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 55 par7/06C6OR 55C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2025 · OR 64 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 64 par16/07C5OR 64C5 @ Charles Town 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 63 · 4f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Charles Town 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 51 · 4f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 51 par21/06C5OR 51C8 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 59 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 59 par23/07C8OR 59projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-21Charles Town?5th2nd+3
2026-06-06Charles Town?6th3rd+3
2025-07-16Colonial Downs?8th5th+3
2025-06-27Belmont At The Big A?6th4th+2
2025-06-07Laurel Park?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0427/0621/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20252nd14/126%89%+0.63
04/05/202511th50/10%0%0.00
07/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
27/06/20256th25/10%0%0.00
16/07/20258th16/116%0%-0.16
06/06/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
21/06/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
23/07/20265th25/10%0%0.00