10
Yercan Maro
7yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 66
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 28/08/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |