Yes Chef
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 73
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |