Arise My Love
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Colonial Downs · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |