Kobe's Hope
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80
Colonial Downs · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |