Nothinglesswilldo
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Colonial Downs · Race 10 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-01-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |