Bodecream
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 09/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 55% | -0.34 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |