10
Lookin For Roses
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |