Mo Rewards
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 88
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-01-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2024 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 03/08/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/09/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 14/11/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 24/01/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 15/03/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |