Regal Kingdom
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-07-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2024-03-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2023 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/09/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 09/12/2023 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 02/03/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/04/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/07/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |