Slippin Jimmy
10yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/07/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |