Summer Vibes
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |