3
Honor Mags
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 15th | −3 |
| 2026-03-20 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2025-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 08/02/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 04/10/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 26/04/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |