8
Limo
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |