1
Lordship
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 10/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |