7
Souper Attentive
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 96
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |