2
War Officer
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |