9
Zephyros
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 95
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#10
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | BHA100 | 6th | 12th | −5 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |