6

Final Accord

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 100

Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Shenandoah Stakes · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 11/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Fm 11811/09C6C1 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 99 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 99 par2/10C1OR 99C0 @ Del Mar 31/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 97 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 97 par31/10C?OR 97C1 @ Churchill Downs 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 98 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 98 par30/04C1OR 98BHA108 @ Penn National 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 116 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 108 par29/05108OR 108C5 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 104 · 1m Gd 118 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 104 par27/06C5OR 104projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2026-05-29Penn NationalBHA1082nd10th6
2026-04-30Churchill Downs?4th-1th+4
2025-10-31Del Mar?9th4th+4
2025-10-02Belmont At The Big A?1st-4th+4
2025-09-11Woodbine?1st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/092/1031/1030/0429/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
02/10/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
31/10/20259th8/158%27%-0.31
30/04/20264th8/158%63%+0.05
29/05/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12
27/06/20266th10/147%44%-0.03