1
Tap Into Grace
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 92
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Shenandoah Stakes · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |