9
Yaudacity
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 90
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Shenandoah Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-11-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 07/11/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |