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2

My Boy Star

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 97

Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Colonial Turf Dash Stakes · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 11917/01C6C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 05/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 89 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 89 par5/02C6OR 89C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 6f 119 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 84 par29/03C6OR 84C5 @ Gulfstream 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 89 par25/04C5OR 89C5 @ Monmouth Park 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 87 par11/07C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Monmouth Park?5th5th0
2026-04-25Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-03-29Tampa Bay Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-02-05Tampa Bay Downs?3rd5th−2
2026-01-17Tampa Bay Downs?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/015/0229/0325/0411/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
05/02/20263rd7/491%80%-0.11
29/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
25/04/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
11/07/20265th14/126%20%-0.06