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9

Spidey Man

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 98

Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Colonial Turf Dash Stakes · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

64%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 13/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11913/09C7C6 @ Laurel Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 90 · 6f 119 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 90 par12/12C6OR 90C6 @ Laurel Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 91 par9/01C6OR 91C6 @ Laurel Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 94 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 94 par28/06C6OR 94C5 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 96 par12/07C5OR 96projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-06-28Laurel Park?1st2nd−1
2026-01-09Laurel Park?3rd4th−1
2025-12-12Laurel Park?1st2nd−1
2025-09-13Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0912/129/0128/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
12/12/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
09/01/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
28/06/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
12/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47