6

Mazzala

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Deauville · Prix De Reux Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 4f 94y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1281/05C51 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12530/0511 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 12520/071projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Vichy11st1st0
2026-05-30Lyon-Parilly11st2nd0
2026-05-01Saint-Cloud?1st6th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0530/0520/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
30/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
20/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09