4
Parachutiste
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Reux Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 4f 94y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-09-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 24/04/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/06/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |