3
Kentucky Rain
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 85
Deauville · Prix De La Vallee D'auge Listed Stakes · 4f 213y
#4
Rank
Odds
1/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 16th | 16th | +0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Goodwood | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 17/06/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |