5

La Belle Isola
2yo Filly · 8-11
Deauville · Prix De La Vallee D'auge Listed Stakes · 4f 213y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |