4

Roxelina
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 85
Deauville · Prix De La Vallee D'auge Listed Stakes · 4f 213y
#5
Rank
Odds
2/9
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 78% | -0.15 |
| 19/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |