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2yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 96
Deauville · Prix De La Vallee D'auge Listed Stakes · 4f 213y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |