8
Terminology
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 77
Deauville · Prix De La Vallee D'auge Listed Stakes · 4f 213y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |