6
Vollering
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 91
Deauville · Prix De La Vallee D'auge Listed Stakes · 4f 213y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength31%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |