11
Almaromy
4yo Filly · 9-1
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#15
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 09/02/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |