5
Amidargent
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#14
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.6 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 19/01/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 01/02/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |