2
Aventino
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Deauville · Prix De Bayeux Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Marseille | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-27 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 14th | 7/2 | 82% | 13% | -0.68 |
| 14/08/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 27/10/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 62% | -0.29 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/02/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |